AOI-1 — 29 Sep Update

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The NHC is monitoring Area of Interest 1 in the Gulf of Mexico. The system currently has a near-zero percent chance of formation across three days, and 50% chance across seven days.

The EURO does not develop this low, and the GFS currently only develops it as a low:

(You may have to click the image above to see the low near the bottom of the full-size image)

The only reason for this post is that I have seen weather sources hype up that another storm is brewing in the Gulf, and at the present time, that is simply not true.

If a system develops, there will be plenty of time to prepare. And statistically it is likely not to be a particularly strong system.

That said, I am keeping an eye on things.

Don’t worry or stress about this. There will be plenty of time to prepare if it is necessary.

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